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Everything we cite, everything we show

The research behind the figures, the foundation overview, and the Water Shield program proposal. Read them here or download the files.

Fire Shield Foundation

Building Fire-Resilient Communities

Overview deck20 slidesFire Shield Foundation, Inc.

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Fire Shield Foundation overview, slide 1
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Fire Shield Foundation

Capability statement

Two pages501(c)(3) effective May 29, 2026SAM.gov UEI G12JVNKD68V5

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Fire Shield Foundation capability statement, two pages

Research we build on

Informal Settlement Fires in Colombia

Flórez Trujillo, Valencia, Avendaño-UribeFire Technology · 202324 pages · peer reviewed
First page of the paper

Abstract

The problem of fires in informal settlements has been recognized as a global phenomenon, affecting thousands of people annually and representing an extreme risk for millions. Informal settlements are characterized by poor infrastructure, lack of access to essential services and dwellings built from flammable materials. Their vulnerability to fire is extreme as even where losses are minimal fires ruin lives, damage property, and undermine socioeconomic development. Currently, there is a great need to understand the proportion and characteristics of the problem around the world. As an attempt to help fill this knowledge gap, this paper presents a detailed description of the problem of informal settlement fires in Colombia. This investigation includes the contextualization of the problem, a morphological description of several common dwelling types, and their socio-economic characteristics in terms of the number of people, physical conditions, and provision of services. The statistics associated with informal settlement fires in Colombia are reported, with emphasis on the number of dwellings destroyed, people affected, ignition sources and challenges for fire suppression operations. Finally, a case study highlighting the development of a typical informal settlement fire in Colombia is presented. The results reported in this paper are suitable to support emergency protocols and prevention strategies aiming to mitigate the risk associated with informal settlements.

Read the full paper at the publisher →

doi:10.1007/s10694-023-01413-8. Every headline figure on the Fire Shield site comes from this paper: 2,540 structural fires in Colombia 2011 to 2020, 432 in informal settlements, 22,563 people affected, 3,489 dwellings destroyed, 35 killed, 275 injured, and 88.5 percent of causes undetermined. Citing published research implies no endorsement by the authors or their institutions.

Research we build on

The 2024 thesis, in fifteen minutes

Reading versionPrepared for Fire ShieldSource: Flórez Trujillo, 2024

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Fire Shield Reading Version (≈15 Minutes)

Why This Research Matters

This 2024 master's thesis by Diego Fernando Flórez Trujillo may be one of the most important pieces of fire research currently available for Fire Shield's work in Colombia. Unlike many studies that focus on developed urban environments, this research examines fires in informal settlements—the exact type of communities Fire Shield is concerned with. The study combines Colombian fire history, disaster data, field observations, and advanced computer fire modeling to understand how fires start, spread, and destroy homes in informal communities.

The author begins with a simple but important observation: roughly one billion people worldwide live in informal settlements, and many of these communities are highly vulnerable to fire due to poor infrastructure, limited access to water, combustible building materials, overcrowding, and difficult access for emergency responders. While fire deaths have generally decreased in wealthier countries, they continue to rise in many parts of the developing world. Colombia is not immune to this problem.

The Colombian Problem

One of the most valuable parts of this research is that it focuses specifically on Colombia rather than relying on studies from Africa, Asia, or Europe.

The author explains that informal settlements exist throughout Colombia and are often built on hillsides, flood-prone areas, unstable slopes, and land where formal development was never intended. Homes are commonly constructed from whatever materials are available, including:

Wood

Recycled materials

Corrugated metal

Plastic materials

Guadua bamboo

Mixed construction methods

Many communities have narrow pathways that prevent easy access by fire apparatus. Water supply can be limited, and electrical systems are often informal or improvised.

As I read this section, I immediately thought about many of the neighborhoods Fire Shield intends to assess around Medellín. The challenges described by the author mirror the same conditions we have discussed:

Dense housing

Limited road access

Steep terrain

Mixed construction materials

Community self-built infrastructure

Why Fires Become Community Disasters

The thesis identifies several factors that influence fire spread in informal settlements. The biggest factors are:

Housing Density

When homes are built very close together, flames and radiant heat can easily reach neighboring structures.

Building Materials

Combustible walls, roofs, and furnishings provide fuel for continued fire growth.

Wind

Wind can dramatically increase flame spread and carry embers into nearby structures.

Limited Access

Firefighters may be unable to position apparatus close enough to attack the fire effectively.

Lack of Water

Without nearby hydrants or water sources, suppression efforts become slower and less effective.

These findings strongly support Fire Shield's emphasis on prevention and community risk reduction rather than relying solely on emergency response.

Colombia's Fire Data

The author analyzed national data from the UNGRD (National Unit for Disaster Risk Management) and found that informal settlement fires occur throughout Colombia. One of the most concerning findings was that many incidents are poorly documented, and the actual magnitude of the problem is likely underreported.

A major challenge is that many fire causes are recorded as unknown or undetermined.

For Fire Shield, this means that part of our future work should focus on improving incident documentation and data collection. Without accurate data, it becomes difficult to identify trends and target prevention programs effectively.

The Puerto Rico Settlement Case Study

One chapter examines a real informal settlement known as Puerto Rico in Colombia.

The author documents:

The settlement layout

Housing construction

Access routes

Fire origin

Fire spread patterns

Post-fire damage

The study reconstructs how the fire moved through the community and identifies factors that likely contributed to rapid spread.

One important lesson is that the fire did not simply spread from house to house because structures were touching. Heat, flames, wind effects, and building arrangement all contributed to the progression of the event.

This reinforces an important concept:

Fire spread is a community problem, not just a building problem.

The Fire Simulation

The heart of the thesis is a detailed simulation using Fire Dynamics Simulator (FDS), one of the world's most respected fire modeling platforms used by researchers and engineers.

The author created a virtual informal Colombian home and then simulated a fire inside it.

The model examined:

Temperature growth

Heat release

Smoke movement

Flame spread

Radiant heat

Visibility conditions

Effects of different building materials

The simulation was repeatedly tested and calibrated to ensure reliable results.

This is important because it moves the discussion beyond opinion and into measurable science.

The Guadua Discovery

Perhaps the most interesting finding for Fire Shield is the role of Guadua bamboo.

Many international studies focus on wooden structures, particularly research from South Africa. However, Colombian informal housing often incorporates Guadua, which behaves differently than traditional wood.

The research found that Guadua changes:

Internal temperatures

Heat release behavior

Fire growth characteristics

Heat flow through openings

The author concludes that Colombia requires its own fire research and cannot simply rely on models developed elsewhere.

For Fire Shield, this means that local construction practices matter.

Solutions designed for Cape Town, Nairobi, or Manila may not fully apply to Medellín.

The Most Important Fire Spread Finding

The study found that heat flux levels measured approximately one meter from doors and windows were high enough to ignite common materials located outside the structure.

This is a huge finding.

Most residents think fire spreads when flames physically touch another structure.

The simulation demonstrated that radiant heat alone may be sufficient to ignite nearby combustible materials.

In practical terms:

A burning house may ignite another house without direct flame contact.

That has enormous implications for:

Housing spacing

Material storage

Community layout

Vegetation management

Flashover and Community Risk

The simulation showed classic compartment fire behavior.

As temperatures increased, the fire transitioned toward flashover conditions. Following flashover, flames projected through openings such as doors and windows.

Once this occurred, the likelihood of fire spreading to nearby structures increased dramatically.

The author notes that during the fully developed stage of the fire, flame lengths exceeded the separation distance between nearby structures.

Translated into plain English:

The houses were close enough that the flames could effectively reach neighboring homes.

This is one of the strongest scientific arguments for community fire breaks and improved spacing.

What This Means for Medellín

Although the thesis is not specifically about Medellín, many of the conditions are directly applicable.

The study repeatedly highlights concerns that align with what Fire Shield expects to encounter:

Hillside communities

Dense construction

Mixed building materials

Limited emergency access

Informal electrical systems

High exposure to fire spread

The findings suggest that even modest improvements could significantly reduce risk:

Better electrical safety

Removal of combustible storage

Community education

Improved access routes

Strategic spacing between structures

Water supply improvements

What Fire Shield Should Do With This

If Fire Shield were to turn this thesis into an operational roadmap, I would extract five priorities:

1. Mapping

Continue using MapIt GIS to identify:

Access routes

Water sources

Building density

Construction materials

2. Community Risk Assessments

Document:

Electrical hazards

Fuel storage

Cooking practices

Structural spacing

3. Fire Prevention Education

Teach communities:

How fire spreads

Radiant heat dangers

Safe cooking practices

Electrical safety

4. Infrastructure Improvements

Identify opportunities for:

Water access

Fire breaks

Access corridors

Emergency planning

5. Research Partnerships

Build relationships with:

Universidad Tecnológica de Pereira

Fire researchers

UNGRD

Local universities

Colombian fire departments

Final Assessment

After reading the thesis, my biggest takeaway is this:

The research confirms that informal settlement fires in Colombia are not random events. They follow identifiable patterns driven by building materials, settlement layout, spacing, heat transfer, and infrastructure limitations. These are factors that can be measured, mapped, and improved.

For Fire Shield, that is encouraging news. It means the problem is not simply "fires happen." It means there are practical interventions—many of them low-cost—that can reduce the likelihood of a single house fire becoming a community-wide disaster.

This is exactly the type of research that should help shape the Fire Shield Medellín Pilot Project.

Research we build on

Simulación computacional del incendio en una vivienda informal colombiana

Diego Fernando Flórez TrujilloMaster's thesis · Universidad Tecnológica de Pereira · 2024151 pages · Spanish
page 1page 2page 3page 4

Cover and opening pages shown. The full thesis is held in the Universidad Tecnológica de Pereira institutional repository. Its computational model of fire growth inside a guadua and esterilla dwelling is the physical basis for how fast one ignition becomes a block.

Program proposal

Water Shield

Strategic climate adaptation program for the forest protection of MedellínJuly 17, 2026English translation

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A program designed by firefighters of the Cuerpo Oficial de Bomberos de Medellín. Reproduced here as reference material. Fire Shield is in conversation with the program's authors about how the two efforts fit together; no formal partnership is implied. Author names appear only with their permission.

WATER SHIELD

STRATEGIC CLIMATE ADAPTATION PROGRAM FOR THE FOREST PROTECTION OF MEDELLÍN

Environmental Mission — Resilience and a Green Future

Sandra Medina MedinaCOBM Firefighter

Santiago HernándezCOBM Firefighter

Carlos Alberto BetancurCOBM Firefighter

July 17, 2026

WATER SHIELD — FOREST PROTECTIONAdaptation • Sustainable • Strategic

STRATEGIC CONTENT

Climate Adaptation Program — 2026 Operational Plan

The Climate Crisis in the Aburrá Valley

The Operational Challenge of Critical Topography

Identification of the Structural Water-Supply Gap

Water Shield: A Paradigm Shift

Pillar 1: Network of Strategic Water Points

Pillar 2: Shield Warehouses and Tactical Decentralization

Pillar 3: Specialized Hillside Mobility

Pillar 4: Aerial Shield and Technological Coordination

Governance Model: Water Shield Regional Roundtable

Co-Financing and Commitment of Strategic Partners

Community Strengthening: Wildland Fire Brigades

Four-Stage Response Protocol

Implementation Timeline and Strategic Milestones

Measurable Impact: Toward a Resilient Medellín

Conclusion and Request for Institutional Action

1. THE CLIMATE CRISIS IN THE ABURRÁ VALLEY

Context of Environmental Vulnerability and Strategic Risk

Escalating Threat

More than 400 hectares are lost annually to fires. The intensification of dry seasons places our vital ecosystems at critical risk.

Social Impact

Deterioration of air quality for 2.5 million inhabitants and compromising the geological stability of hillsides in relation to mass movements.

Critical Response

The guardian hills — El Volador, Nutibara, and Picacho — require an urgent reduction in response time given the recurrence of fires.

2. THE OPERATIONAL CHALLENGE OF CRITICAL TOPOGRAPHY

Analysis of Structural Limitations and Response Times in Medellín

Critical Response

The average response time is 60 minutes, exceeding effectiveness standards given the rapid spread of wildland fires.

Limitations

Extreme difficulty in interface zones and a lack of dedicated water infrastructure at difficult-to-access locations.

Hills at Risk

El Picacho & El Volador

Cerro Nutibara

Pan de Azúcar

Santa Elena Corridor

Gap Analysis

The urban network does not reach higher elevations, creating a structural gap that Water Shield seeks to close permanently.

3. IDENTIFIED STRUCTURAL WATER-SUPPLY GAP

Hillside Limitations

The urban aqueduct does not reach higher elevations. Water tanker trucks face mobility restrictions and a lack of filling points in elevated areas.

External Dependence

The current network depends on remote supplies and dispersed natural sources, which are insufficient for large-scale emergencies.

Dedicated Water Network

It is urgent to establish a strategic, decentralized network independent of the urban network to guarantee an agile response in high-risk areas.

4. WATER SHIELD: A PARADIGM SHIFT

From Reactive Response to Proactive Climate Adaptation

Program Vision

We redefine the approach by transitioning from simply responding to fires toward a comprehensive climate adaptation strategy.

It is not only about supplies, but about strengthening installed capacity and community governance.

Impact and Commitment

Aligned with the 2050 Climate Action Plan and the C40 Network, the program positions Medellín as a benchmark in territorial resilience, transforming physical assets into strategic tools for a sustainable future.

5. PILLAR 1: NETWORK OF STRATEGIC WATER POINTS

Technical Advantage

Water decentralization minimizes dependence on tanker trucks.

Through 2.5-inch Storz couplings, firefighting operations are optimized at critical locations that are difficult to access.

Total Capacity: 50,000 gallons

Active Tanks: 10 locations

Permanent coordination with EPM, rural aqueduct systems, and rainwater collection systems to guarantee continuous filling.

Technical standards based on Q4 2025 emergency management protocols.

6. PILLAR 2: TACTICAL DECENTRALIZATION

Shield Warehouses

Satellite Centers

Five strategic locations will be established in:

Santa Elena

AltaVista

San Cristóbal

Guardian Hills

Alto de Las Palmas

These locations are intended to provide an immediate response.

Physical Capacity

Equipment consisting of motor pumps and PPE will serve as the physical operational core for local Community Wildland Fire Brigades.

7. PILLAR 3: SPECIALIZED HILLSIDE MOBILITY

Interface Doctrine

We implement an operational doctrine differentiated from the urban response and specifically designed for the complex wildland-residential interface of the Aburrá Valley.

"Total versatility in critical terrain."

Required Adapted 4x4 Fleet

2 Wildland Water Tankers: Robust capacity for large-scale fires.

4 Rapid-Attack Pickups: Agile vehicles for narrow roads and steep slopes.

2 Versatile UTVs: Full access to trails and difficult-to-traverse areas.

8. PILLAR 4: AERIAL SHIELD AND COORDINATION

Strategic Aerial Availability

A system providing 50 annual hours with a helicopter bucket for inaccessible areas, maximizing response capabilities in difficult terrain.

Integration with SIATA

Institutionalization of a ground-air protocol with the Early Warning System to optimize early detection.

Role of Liaison Officers

Medellín Firefighters lead ground-air coordination, ensuring fluid communication and efficient joint operations.

9. GOVERNANCE MODEL: WATER SHIELD REGIONAL ROUNDTABLE

A cooperative structure that distributes technical and financial responsibilities for addressing metropolitan wildfire risk:

Medellín Mayor's Office & DAGRD-FirefightersOperational Leadership — $1.500M

AMVARegional Coordination — $800M

Government of AntioquiaModel Scalability — $500M

EPMLogistical Support — $300M

CORANTIOQUIAEcological Recovery — $200M

ISA / ISAGENTechnological Monitoring — $305M

Total Proposed Investment

$3.605.000 COP as written in the presentation.

Interinstitutional commitment to forest protection.

10. PROPOSED CO-FINANCING AND STRATEGIC COMMITMENT

Water Shield Regional Roundtable

Justification

Collective investment builds robust institutional capacity, essential for resilience and the protection of vital infrastructure.

Critical Assets

Replicability: Scaling by the Departmental Government.

Operability: EPM water-supply support.

Connectivity: ISA/ISAGEN monitoring.

Proposed Contributions

Medellín Mayor's OfficeLeadership and unified operational command$1,500,000,000

AMVARegional coordination and impact mitigation$800,000,000

Departmental GovernmentScalability of the model to other subregions$500,000,000

EPMWater supply and logistical support$300,000,000

CORANTIOQUIAEnvironmental authority and risk maps$200,000,000

ISA / ISAGENProtection of transmission lines$305,000,000

11. COMMUNITY STRENGTHENING — WILDLAND FIRE BRIGADES

First Line of Defense

Formation of 10 volunteers per prioritized sector, strengthening the early-warning and immediate-response network for vegetation fires.

Certification and Coordination

A 40-hour technical training cycle led by Firefighters and DAGRD, integrating the Community Action Boards (JACs) to ensure community ownership.

Infrastructure Custody

Responsibility for the keys to Shield Warehouses and valves, guaranteeing activation within less than 10 minutes from detection of an incipient fire.

12. RESPONSE PROTOCOL — FOUR KEY MOMENTS

"The focus is on early intervention, drastically reducing response times and minimizing the impact of fire."

1. Community Report

Detection and georeferenced reporting by the community.

2. Parallel Activation

Simultaneous alert to the DAGRD Central Office and Wildland Fire Brigade.

3. Initial Response

Action in less than 10 minutes using Shield Warehouse equipment and Water Points.

4. Escalation

Mobilization of the Shield Fleet in less than 15 minutes.

Simultaneous communication integrated between the community and official agencies.

13. IMPLEMENTATION TIMELINE

Strategic Roadmap Toward a Medellín More Resilient to Climate Change

Months 1–2 — Phase 1: Diagnosis and Partnerships

Establishment of the Regional Roundtable

Signing of Framework Agreement

Fire recurrence map

Identification of water sources

Months 3–8 — Phase 2: Physical Capacity

Installation of 10 Water Points

Implementation of 5 Shield Warehouses

Specialized mobility fleet

Protocols with EPM and aqueduct systems

Months 4–12 — Phase 3: Ownership and Completion

Aerial Shield agreement

Community Wildland Fire Brigades

Execution of two drills

Final indicator report

Total implementation period: 12 months.

14. MEASURABLE IMPACT: TOWARD A RESILIENT MEDELLÍN

Reduction in Response Time

Response will move from 60 minutes to less than 15 minutes, protecting lives and property along the urban edge.

Protection of Key Ecosystems

Goal of reducing affected hectares by 40%, preserving Andean forests and connectivity.

Optimization of Water Resources

Prioritization of rainwater for emergencies, relieving pressure on the potable water supply.

Social Benefit

Protection for rural aqueduct systems and the communities of Santa Elena and San Cristóbal.

15. CONCLUSION AND REQUEST FOR INSTITUTIONAL ACTION

Water Shield is not simply an acquisition of equipment, but rather the installation of the climate adaptation capacity that the territory needs to overcome the historical gap in wildfire response.

Formal Requests

✓ Adopt Water Shield as a priority program within the Risk Management Plan.

✓ Authorize detailed studies of territorial and hydraulic suitability.

✓ Convene the formal establishment of the Water Shield Regional Roundtable.

✓ Define installed-capacity indicators for comprehensive evaluation.

"We do not replace what exists. We install what is missing."

Program proposal

Water Shield deck, English

17 slidesEnglish translation

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Program proposal

Water Shield, presentación en español

17 diapositivasOriginal

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